NATIONAL MISSILE DEFENSE
Recent Articles



  • Real Men Don't Proliferate

    It was a wonderful week for national missile defense. George W. Bush triumphantly announced he was taking a powder from the ABM Treaty that inhibits his progress to Star Wars. It was a terrible week for non-proliferation legislation, which had, in the Senate, another of its near-death experiences. (Washington Post, 12/16/01)

  • The China Syndrome

    All eyes were on Russia yesterday as President Bush announced that the United States is withdrawing from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty to pursue its missile-defense program unfettered. How would the Kremlin react? (slate.com, 12/14/01)

  • The Mad Dash for Missile Defense

    For the eighth time since the Johnson administration, missile defense fever has stricken the United States. A Star Wars opponent says the idea remains "compoundly stupid." (tompaine.com, 8/23/01)

  • White House Rigged Missile Test

    The Bush Administration had a lot weighing on this month's test of the missile defense shield. Two previous tests failed. Furthermore, Democrats -- not to mention the Russians and Chinese -- are dead set against the shield, with its $100 billion plus price tag. The Bush Administration couldn't take its chances on another screw up . . . so it had the $100 million test rigged. (americanprospect.com, 8/1/01)

  • In Anti-missile Test, Target Signaled its Location

    In this month's high-profile anti-ICBM test, a prototype interceptor was able to find a target warhead partly because the target signaled its location to the interceptor for much of the flight, and the transmissions formed the basis of the targeting orders, according to officials and documents.(Defense Week, 7/30/01)

  • Bush's plan to test missiles from Kodiak renews controversy
    U.S. military plans to launch test missiles for the nation's defense systems from Kodiak's rocket range have some locals up in arms. (Anchorage Daily News, 8/5/01)

  • Conservative Coalition Pushes Missile Shield on Capitol Hill
    A coalition of conservative organizations, concerned that their top military priority is facing a tough battle on Capitol Hill, has begun a national lobbying campaign to pressure Congress into supporting President Bush's plans for a missile shield. (New York Times, 8/5/01)

  • The money defense sheild
    Commentary from Paul Loeb, author of Soul of a Citizen: Living With Conviction in a Cynical Time. (Christian Science Monitor, 7/25/01)

  • No Nukes Newsletter, July 2001
    Monthly update from the Alaskan and Circumpolar Coalition Against Missile Defense and Weaponization of Space
    Includes pdates, news, announcements.


"In Anti-missile Test, Target Signaled Its Location"
Defense Week - July 30, 2001 - by John M. Donnelly

In this month's high-profile anti-ICBM test, a prototype interceptor was able to find a target warhead partly because the target signaled its location to the interceptor for much of the flight, and the transmissions formed the basis of the targeting orders, according to officials and documents.

The presence of the beacon, or "C-band transponder," on the target warhead didn't guarantee that the interceptor would find and kill the target in the July 14 test of President Bush's proposed missile shield. But the target-location data gave the interceptor rocket a precise point in space at which to aim and made its job much easier than would be the case if it had relied on a ground radar's natural receptors, a Pentagon official confirmed. What's more, a decoy that flew in the exercise to test the interceptor's ability to distinguish a fake warhead from a real one had no such beacon on it.

The transponder's use in earlier tests was brought up at a couple of press briefings and congressional hearings last year. But it has received little attention. In particular, its vital targeting role in the tests, including this month's internationally controversial one, has not previously been disclosed. It raises new questions about the realism of the exercises. Yet the Pentagon will use the beacon for the foreseeable future.

In a candid interview, the missile-defense program's technical director, Keith Englander, for the first time confirmed that the transponder data was used to generate the "weapons task plan," the targeting program for the booster that lifted the kill vehicle. He stressed, though, that the hardest work was done by other sensors, including those on the kill vehicle itself. Englander said the transponder had to be used because existing Pacific radars are located in less than ideal places for testing. The program's spokesman, Air Force Lt. Col. Richard Lehner, also downplayed the role of the transponder. He added that its use is one of several aspects of current testing the Pentagon plans eventually to dispense with.

"What it points to is the need for an expanded test infrastructure, too, so we can make these tests more operationally realistic ... using the type of sensors we need," Lehner said.

However, Englander said that the administration has not requested funding to build a new X-band radar that would obviate the need for the beacon-even though the White House has asked for $800 million to start building a missile-defense "test bed" in Alaska that could become an operational defense as soon as 2004.

Notwithstanding the use of the beacon, in the final seconds of the July 14 test, the kill vehicle ultimately found and destroyed the mock enemy warhead without outside help by using its own infrared seeker and steering mechanism, experts agree.

However, they also agree that the interceptor was able to get to the end-game only because the target transmitted its location during critical minutes of the flight to an FPQ-14 C-band radar on Oahu, Hawaii, and from there to the battle-management system in Colorado Springs, Colo. Significantly, the C-band beacon's transmission then generated the computer program that tells the interceptor when and where to aim in space.

The July 14 test boosted President Bush's hopes of deploying a missile shield for the United States. That night, a target missile took off from Vandenberg AFB, Calif., while, 4,800 miles away, a rocket carrying the kill vehicle launched from Kwajalein Atoll in the Pacific's Marshall Islands. The kill vehicle found and obliterated the target 144 miles above the ocean, the second intercept in four attempts. The beacon and a set of Global Positioning System, or GPS, instruments were used in previous tests as well as this one, officials said. The GPS equipment was only used in a backup mode on July 14.

The beacon was never mentioned, or included in briefing documents, in a detailed preview of the flight test given to reporters the day before this month's exercise by Ballistic Missile Defense Organization Director Air Force Lt. Gen. Ronald Kadish. Last summer, though, top officials and the Pentagon spokesman described the beacon as mainly a range-safety and data-gathering tool.

On July 6, 2000, Pentagon spokesman Rear Adm. Craig Quigley told reporters the beacon "provides no information to the [kill vehicle] as it navigates its way to the target." On June 20, 2000, Kadish told the press that "the beacon does not help the kill vehicle in the acquisition phase of that requirement."

The same month, Kadish told a Senate panel, in reference to the C-band transponder and GPS instruments: "None-I repeat, none-of this equipment in any way aids the kill vehicle in finding, discriminating or intercepting the target during the final stages of the flight test."

'Here I am'

Philip Coyle, who until earlier this year oversaw testing of the missile-shield system and other major military programs, said in an interview that Kadish's words were true in a strict sense. The key terms, however, Coyle said, are "final stages."

Prior to the end-game, in the "mid-course" of flight, Coyle said, "the C-band beacon does aid the kill vehicle in finding, discriminating, and intercepting the target." Use of the beacon, he said, "is how they know where [the target warhead] is ... and to go after that object rather than other objects that in the mid-course you wouldn't want to go after by mistake," such as the bus, decoy or debris.

The beacon on the target "does provide discrimination in the mid-course, because that's the only object being tracked," said Coyle, now a consultant with the Center for Defense Information, a research group that is often critical of military spending.

"There is absolutely nothing wrong with [using the beacon] this early in the program," Coyle added. "It's just one of many things that have to be changed so the flights can be more realistic in the future." Coyle compared the beacon's role in the tests to looking in the dark with a flashlight for someone who has his own pencil flashlight showing you where to look. "Perhaps the most unrealistic part of the C-band beacon is the fact that it is an active beacon-as opposed to simply being something passive that is seen by a radar," he said. "What's different is that it's ... like a pinger saying, 'Here I am.' "

'Weapons task plan'

By contrast to official desciptions of the beacon's role, an August 2000 "for official use only" report by Coyle's office on the strategic-defense testing program said the transponder generates the targeting plan. Although that plan is clarified based on other data, the intercept aim-point is derived directly from information fed from the target beacon to ground computers, said Coyle in the interview and in his report.

The beacon and, in earlier tests, the GPS instruments are "the sources of information for weapons task planning," the report said.

The document says the weapons task plan created by the beacon's data comprises "pre-launch instructions that are used by the weapon system for generating a flyout solution that places the EKV [exoatmospheric kill vehicle] on an intercept path with the target RV [re-entry vehicle]."

The beacon or GPS instrument must be used for this weapons plan, the report said, because a ground-based prototype X-band radar on Kwajalein "alone is not capable of supporting the weapon task plan generation, since the target RV cannot be discriminated early enough."

"Use of the FPQ-14 range radar as the source of weapon task plan data needs to be phased out," the report said in a recommendation under the category of "Testing Artificiality."

Not a 'dead-on shot'

Englander, the program's technical director, acknowledged that the target's transponder generated the weapons task plan and gave the interceptor a box in space (of unspecified size) at which to aim. But subsequently in the test, he said, the Kwajalein radar gave the interceptor three "in flight target updates" on the missile's flight trajectory that refined the box to half the original size, and then the kill vehicle did the rest, firing its divert thrusters 28 times to do so.

"It wasn't a dead-on shot from the weapons task plan," he said. The transponder, he said, "points to the segment in the sky that the target complex should end up in once the EKV [exoatmospheric kill vehicle] gets up there." However, he said, "The majority of [the data] we're getting to put the EKV [there] is the refined track you get from the GBR-P [ground based radar prototype on Kwajalein] and what the EKV does on its own."

The whole exercise lasted a half an hour. The battle-management system used data from about seven minutes worth of transponder transmissions followed by about eight minutes of data from the Kwajalein radar, he disclosed.

By contrast, a depiction of the test "geometry" in Coyle's report shows the beacon working overtime, transmitting data for 23 minutes of the 30-minute flight. Englander said the graphic is "generic."

Englander also rejected any suggestion that using the beacon on the target-but not on the decoy-rigged the test. He said the transponder only sent data on the location of the entire target "cluster"-the combination of warhead, decoy and bus-and didn't need to make any distinctions at the early point in the flight when the beacon was responsible for tracking. Coyle, though, said that in a real-world setting, an early-warning radar would pick up all the objects and would have to sort among them.

The existing radars are not sufficiently realistic for testing because an upgraded early-warning model at Beale AFB, near Sacramento, Calif., is too close to the target launch-point of Vandenberg AFB, near Los Angeles. The Kwajalein radar is too close to the interceptor launch-point to obtain targeting data-except for late in the flight.

Moreover, the FPQ-14 radar on Oahu is just not strong enough to do the job without getting data beamed straight from the target, officials said.


Bush's plan to test missiles from Kodiak renews controversy
SKEPTICAL: Some residents say silos already crowd popular recreation area.

By Zaz Hollander
Anchorage Daily News

(Published: August 5, 2001)
Kodiak -- U.S. military plans to launch test missiles for the nation's defense systems from Kodiak's rocket range have some locals up in arms.

President Bush announced in mid-July that he wants to base two test missile silos on Kodiak Island, reviving a local controversy that started in 1996 when a rocket launch complex went up near Fossil Beach, a popular hiking, fishing and whale-watching spot about 40 miles of bad road south of town.

At the time, protesters -- including one wearing a Miss Piggy costume -- held a barbecue to slam "Space Pork Kodiak."

Now some people worry that Bush wants to permanently house armed missiles on Kodiak Island and beef up military operations at what was supposed to be a strictly commercial rocket range with concrete launch pads for rent.

Military officials say that's not the case and that the silos will launch test missiles loaded only with solid fuel. They're holding a town hall meeting later this month to set the record straight.

"We want to try to correct some inaccurate information," said U.S. Air Force Lt. Col. Rick Lehner, spokesman for the Ballistic Missile Defense Organization in Washington, D.C. "There's a perception we plan to deploy (armed) missiles, nuclear warheads, take over the island.

"We just wanted to look at the possibility of using Kodiak and maybe launch one, two, three (test) missiles a year."

The new launch plans have detractors, but they also have many supporters on the island, site of the largest U.S. Coast Guard base in the world. Phone lines hummed with heated calls from both sides on a call-in show on local radio station KMXT on Friday morning.

Some Kodiak residents say the controversy is a lot of noise over nothing.

The test launches would be "a minor thing," Tom Sweeney, a retired insurance agent, said in an interview later in the day. "I'm all for it. Since Kodiak was settled, it's the military that's done the settling."

Critics don't have all the facts, said Ed Allen, technical director of the Kodiak Launch Complex.

"In my opinion, the reason there's a controversy is when people talk silos, they think about wars," Allen said. "What we do here is testing."

Here's the government's proposal:

Once or twice a year, a test missile would shoot from a buried steel and concrete silo on Kodiak Island, aimed at an incoming missile that is supposed to act like it came from North Korea or other potential enemies. Really, it will come from Vandenburg Air Force Base in California or a site in the Pacific. If the mission succeeds, the missiles would meet over open water about 3,000 miles southwest of Kodiak.

In the mid-1990s, the $40 million rocket range was sold as a rarity: a moneymaking government operation that essentially would rent out launch pads to fire polar satellites into space. Then satellites evolved into military launches. So far, the facility isn't showing a profit, the state's coordinator for national missile defense has said. Several launches are schedule in the coming year, including the Athena launch at the end of this month, sending four satellites up.

Opponents seize on the facility's trouble making good on its promise."A silo is a good metaphor because they're like drains," said Mike Sirofchuck, a spokesman for the ad-hoc Kodiak Rocket Launch Information Group, formed in 1995. "There's that giant sucking sound."

Under Bush's new proposal, defense missiles would be tested at Kodiak but actually located at Fort Greely, when and if the system is ever deployed. Testing isn't possible at Fort Greely because falling debris from booster rockets could injure people. The proposal still needs to gain approval from Congress and go through a public review process.

Critics of the Bush plan say they oppose the proposed silos for the same reasons they didn't want the Kodiak Launch Complex built five years ago. They fear lost access at the Narrow Cape, since the range is on the only public land in the area, Sirofchuck said. Environmental damage from silo construction and missile launches is another factor, he said, and the fact that the Kodiak announcement came as a surprise makes critics wonder what else the government isn't telling them.

Even Allen, the director of the launch complex, said he's heard little from headquarters in D.C.

"There's been very little communication," he said.

U.S. Air Force officials acknowledge that the silo announcement in mid-July happened too fast to give people in Kodiak a heads-up. The president's military budget was on a fast track to Congress, they say.

They hope the town hall meeting, scheduled for 6 p.m. Aug. 20 at the Gerald C. Wilson Auditorium, will clear things up.

Some Kodiak residents, however, say they'll always be skeptical.

Jack Bennett was teaching a high school current events class when news broke about "that rocket thing" in the mid-1990s. Bennett thought at the time that "this is a military process just being eased in the back door," he said last week.

"I'm not only skeptical," he said. "They have just destroyed one of the most beautiful places on the island."

Reporter Zaz Hollander can be reached at zhollander@adn.com or 907 257-4591.


Conservative Coalition Pushes Missile Shield on Capitol Hill
By JAMES DAO
New York Times

WASHINGTON, Aug. 5 A coalition of conservative organizations, concerned that their top military priority is facing a tough battle on Capitol Hill, has begun a national lobbying campaign to pressure Congress into supporting President Bush's plans for a missile shield.

The coalition, Americans for Missile Defense, intends to collect more than one million signatures, inundate lawmakers with letters and e-mail messages and raise money for a campaign in time for the September budget debate, the organizers said.

"Missile defense, like very few other issues, has the capability to immediately unite conservatives of all stripes," said David A. Keene, the chairman of the American Conservative Union, which is helping to spearhead the coalition.

One of the coalition's goals will be to bolster Congressional Republicans who are being pressured by Democrats to trim the missile defense budget in favor of increasing spending on conventional weapons like jet fighters and warships.

Democrats have argued that President Bush's proposed $8.3 billion missile defense budget, a $3 billion increase from last year, is exorbitant when other basic needs, like maintaining ships and buying ammunition, are being squeezed.

They have proposed transferring nearly $1 billion from the missile defense plan to an array of other programs requested by senior military commanders.

Another major challenge for the administration and its allies will be to convince voters that the nation needs a large increase in missile defense spending when the Soviet Union is gone and military issues are generally considered a low priority, most polls show.

Those polls also indicate that while voters tend to support the idea of building a missile shield, their support declines when they are informed that more than $60 billion has been spent on the program in the last two decades.

Still, the coalition's organizers said they were confident that once Americans learned that the United States could not defend itself against long- range missile attacks, they would clamor for a shield.

"When you tell people we can't shoot a missile down," said Frank Gaffney Jr., the president of the Center for Security Policy and a founder of the coalition, "people start getting out of their chairs and saying, `That's crazy'"

The coalition includes Americans for Tax Reform; United Seniors Association, which ran a $2 million advertising campaign for President Bush's tax cut last spring; High Frontier, a leading advocate for missile defenses in the Reagan administration; and the Eagle Forum.

The group also has a celebrity spokesman: Jeffrey Baxter, the ponytailed former guitarist for the Doobie Brothers and Steely Dan.

"When I look at people in North Korea, Libya, Iraq and Iran, understand folks, these folks don't sit around and watch `Seinfeld' and eat Milky Way candy bars all day," Mr. Baxter said at a recent news conference. "They have a different concept, a different culture and a different way of looking at things."

Though not a member of the coalition, a Democratic union representing defense industry workers has also begun urging its 750,000 active and retired members to push for missile defense.

"To my Democratic friends on Capitol Hill, I would urge them to forgo the short-term, tactical, partisan advantage," R. Thomas Buffenbarger, the president of the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers said recently. "Can our party really afford to be seen as weak on the defense of America's cities? I think not."

Mr. Keene declined to say how much money the coalition hoped to raise for a media campaign, but he suggested that it would be a relatively modest effort intended mainly to influence legislators.

A military industry official said that coalition leaders had begun soliciting money from military contractors. But many companies are wary of the effort lest the money come from other weapons programs.

The coalition's organizers said their first goal would be to energize several million conservative activists through newsletters and the Internet. The coalition's Web site, for instance, allows a visitor to send a form letter to Congress.


The money defense shield

By Paul Rogat Loeb
July 25, 2001
Christian Science Monitor

I once sat on a plane in front of two drunk arms traders, on a flight from Dallas to Washington DC. They'd sold helicopters to both sides during the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s. When the helicopters got shot down, the countries bought more, then more again, so the arms traders made more money each round. They laughed wildly about the story, considering it a perfect deal.

This incident came to mind when I heard the Bush administration talk of kindly sharing their proposed national missile defense system with their allies. Why not? The more countries, the more orders. And the more benefits to those truly protected and benefited by this project-the weapons producers who've spent over $40 million in the past two years on campaign contributions and lobbying.

A group of Lockheed Martin employees essentially acknowledged this, when I gave a talk, a few years ago, at their Missile & Space Division, in Sunnyvale, California. The company had invited me to discuss a book of mine on the values of current students-their future employees. I hesitated, then decided to speak as honestly as I could, even though it would mean raising discomforting questions. Introduced by a former Air Force General then serving as a Lockheed Martin Vice President, I talked about the generation's complex worldview and struggles to engage some of the critical issues of our time. When students feel that the world is corrupt and can't change, I said, they often point to the political clout of weapons companies, citing corporate bailouts, pork barrel contracts, and military systems that are useless but still make millions. I mentioned how Boeing, well before it acquired Rockwell and McDonnell Douglas, had more staffers in its Washington DC lobbying office than the entire DC staff of Washington State's Congressional and Senatorial delegations combined. The students were beginning to believe, I said, that political access comes only when you give at the door.

After mentioning some respected critics of military buildups, such as former Reagan assistant Secretary of Defense Lawrence Korb, I cited the famed Eisenhower quote: "Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired, signifies in a final sense a theft from those who hunger and are not fed--those who are cold and not clothed." Since the average American household now pays over $200 each year to finance Lockheed Martin's government contracts, I challenged the audience to question their corporate culture and not assume that just because a contract provided money and jobs, it automatically served a greater common good. I specifically questioned some of the company's missile defense systems, which critics were calling politically destabilizing and technologically problematic. A man in the audience quickly jumped in to defend the company's role in developing them. Then one of his colleagues spoke up. "Let's get real," he said. "We all know that if anyone ever attacks America, the bomb is going to be delivered by a suitcase, a car or a truck, or in a boat. It's not going to come from a missile, because you can track where a missile comes from and retaliate. We all know that we're lobbying for these programs because they make us money. We don't care whether they'll ever work, or even be useful. We care that the dollars come our way."

The room was silent. The original questioner answered briefly, but no one else jumped in. The conversation moved on to my original topic of the students. It was as if people were ashamed to respond. I'm not saying that all who embrace the National Missile Defense proposals do so for venal reasons. Some do believe in it. Building an invincible technological shield has been a core dream of the political right since Reagan's first Star Wars plans, albeit a dream spearheaded by think tanks that companies like Boeing, Raytheon, TRW, and Lockheed Martin have lavishly supported. The engineers and designers who support it want the chance to take on what J. Robert Oppenheimer (who directed the creation of the first atomic bomb), once called the "technically sweet" challenge of building complex and challenging technological systems, whatever their consequences. But we've spent $45 billion on Star Wars systems and $95 billion on total missile defense efforts since Reagan embraced the idea, with little beyond failed tests to show for it.

Let's leave aside the endless reasons why National Missile Defense will never work. Leave aside all the ways that-even if it did-it would only undermine hard-won arms control treaties, destabilize global politics, move us back toward nuclear confrontation, and squander over $200 billion of resources that could otherwise provide health care, hire teachers, rebuild our communities or protect our environment. Do we have the political honesty, like the Lockheed Martin employee who spoke out, to acknowledge that this entire proposal may be largely about political payback? The true shield it's designed to create would not protect people and communities. But it would protect the massive profits of the companies that build it-whatever the costs to the rest of us.

Paul Loeb is the author of Soul of a Citizen: Living With Conviction in a Cynical Time (St Martin's Press www.soulofacitizen.org).


WAND

Home